The Big One. PICK NBA - 5/6

Do not fall for the hype
Golden State Warriors will not cover there odds tonight


PICK: Jazz with the odds

Comments

  1. I agree dont think they will cover..jazz will play them hard

    ReplyDelete
  2. Can't imagine jazz covering 3 straight games....i'm gonna sit this out one. Way too tough to gauge, good luck tomas.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I have a feeling this might come down to what spread you get, im leaning Warriors cover up to -7 but if books keep giving more jazz may cover. I expect to see a tightly scripted finish around the spread

    ReplyDelete
  4. Big Money on G.S.
    Also G.S. will bank in a bunch of parleys
    with Cleveland and the Spurs allready good
    on ticket.
    I would be SHOCKED if G.S. wins by more than
    5 points. History gives us a loss as well

    ReplyDelete
  5. Ok I think Jazz keep it close yet again but might be better getting a bigger spread at half

    ReplyDelete
  6. I wouldn't be surprised if Warriors win by 7 points, just like the Cavs. 7 is usually the key # in these spreads, if it were -6.5 I would be all over the Warriors, 7.5+ I'm all over the Jazz. I know for sure that the Warriors will not be losing this game. They've been hyping the Warriors/Cavs sweeps since the first series.

    If they keep repeating how these Warriors/Cavs away games have been going, first half underdog and second half favorites. Both teams roll and cover in the 4th. I've seen this outcome many times, it makes the huge public jump ship off the heavily favored team (mostly live bets).

    ReplyDelete
  7. Very true, vegas has been doing this for a long time they know how to manipulate peoples thoughts on teams throught a series and they are real good at playing the audiences emotions to make them place impulse bets on live spreads where theyre already making an extra 5% off all bets on the spread. A successful strategy for myself has been to bet the favorite for a half unit and the underdog moneyline for a half unit, wait for the game to begin, depending on what way the game is going if at any point you get a chance to take the original favorite ml for more than +150 especially for the popular teams of the leagues put another half unit down on the moneyline in thise situations. So you would have 1.5 units out on the game and if the game is still playing out the same (underdog leading into the 4th quarter) you would stand to be losing a little less if the underdog covers the spread but loses the game but if the fav pulls thru in the 4th and covers original spread then you would be making a decent profit. And if somehow the underdog pulls off the upset at least you had a half unit on the moneyline odds to begin with which by itself can often erase the other 2 half units you mistakenly placed on the favorite. If the game starts and the favorite is demolishing the underdog with 2 half unit bets out if you chose to let it ride and it ends a blowout you will be out the %10 juice too the bookies sometimes it is smart to try to play beat the spread on em, which basically is where you try to tell the way the rest of the game will playout and you put in a live bet on either teams pointspread in order to profit from the game, though it is another risk to take a lot of times you can find a live line that is easy money but be careful you dont put too many bets out on the live pointspreads because at the end of the day the books make an extra 5% off live bets so why risk it sometimes.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. And if it happens that the underdog spread hits then all bets would miss in this scenerio. These are the games too look for though before the game starts if you can find the games that the underdog covers but dont win in these are vegas' games and usually turn out to be the high money games involving an overrated favorite that public money is all over to begin with. As a handicapper these are the trap games you need to be aware of to have success betting and hopefully you are able to pick these games out before they start and take only vegas' side

      Delete
  8. Spurs / Rockets tonight:

    Rockets get 32nd loss of the season on the 131st day of the year. 131 the 32nd prime.

    They would stay on 61 wins too. Fifty eight = 61.

    Rockets 93rd game, Spurs = 93.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Today also leaves 234 days left in the year, 234+432=666.

      Spurs coach birthday to Today is 103 days, 27th prime = 103. Rockets had 27 losses on the year.

      Not sure what your Fifty Eight means. Stay on 61 wins, Spurs had 61 wins for the season.

      Today has 33 Date numerology. The favorites covered 33 times so far in the playoffs and underdogs 26 times. If Spurs cover today it'll be 27, like ROckets losses.

      Spurs best player is out tonight, so it's very very hard to see this actually playing out like that.

      Delete
    2. Oops forgot to mention the most obvious. 5+11+17 = 33, With a Houston win, they'll even the series at 3-3. We all know how much these guys love making it 3-3.

      Delete
    3. You thought exactly how Vegas wanted their sheep to think unfortunately.

      Delete
    4. He used gematria as his means of picking a winner. That has proven to not be as reliable as people think it is. Granted, I thought that series would push 7 games as well.

      Delete
    5. I actually played the "Super Star out" angle. Often times a super star is out for the game and said team plays ridiculously awesome. Got paid +380 on the ML and had +9.

      I really like the fact the favorites are stuck on 33 covered spreads still. Home teams are 0-10 in elimination games. Boston win here will be 0-11. 11th prime = 31. Boston = 31

      Favorites covered the spread 33-27-2. With a Boston underdog cover, it'll be 33-28-2.
      Thirty-Three = 66/156
      Twenty-Eight = 156
      Boston Celtics = 66

      I'll try to dig more later.

      Delete
    6. Well done Capper, you do good work.

      Delete
    7. Thanks James, you as well.

      I don't know why they pushed the 0-10 narrative, but at least the favorite underdog spread record is pulling through. The favorites haven't covered since it hit 33.

      Delete
    8. At this point I believed were looking at both Conference Finals 7 games & NBA Finals 7 games.

      Delete
    9. This comment has been removed by the author.

      Delete

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

NFL Week (15) ~ TNF ~ L.A./K.C. - Early Birds Worm Out ~