NFL Games with Odds - Week One
This is my picks with the odds right now.
Top Week 1 Picks
1.) 49er + 5.5
2.) Chicago + 7
3.) Redskins + 1
4.) San Diego + 3.5
Second tier
1.) Buccaneers - 2.5
2.) Rams - 3.5
3.) Steelers - 9
4.) Saints + 3.5
Third tier
1.) Oakland + 2
2.) Texans - 5.5
3.) Bengals - 3
4.) Patriots - 9
Last tier
1.) Bills - 8
2.) Seattle + 3
3.) Lions + 1.5
4.) Dallas/Giants (unsure)
Top Week 1 Picks
1.) 49er + 5.5
2.) Chicago + 7
3.) Redskins + 1
4.) San Diego + 3.5
Second tier
1.) Buccaneers - 2.5
2.) Rams - 3.5
3.) Steelers - 9
4.) Saints + 3.5
Third tier
1.) Oakland + 2
2.) Texans - 5.5
3.) Bengals - 3
4.) Patriots - 9
Last tier
1.) Bills - 8
2.) Seattle + 3
3.) Lions + 1.5
4.) Dallas/Giants (unsure)
Let's discuss...
ReplyDeleteRemember
DeleteIt is not hard to set a game up to be a 1 point game.
It is rigged after all.
Thought you were on jets because of the 8 months 9 days and #461 loss for bills
ReplyDeleteYeah I was not sure on that one.
DeleteWith the talk in the MSM about the Jets being down right horrible I do not think they win game one.
But they may cover.
That code looks good but all codes can be broke.
That is why it is in my last tier.
I would not bet on any games in tier 4 & probably won't bet on any teams in tier 3 either.
Matter a fact I may only take my top 4 teams in tier one to place wagers on but we'll see.
Let's see what the comments day by Saturday
Need some more advice
Comments say*
DeleteRegardless I think weeks 1 through 3 will each have 8 home teams & 8 away teams win each week. {88}
ReplyDeleteIf we look back at last year in the (97)th NFL season the first 3 weeks all ended (9-7) home/away teams or It was (7-9) home/away teams but it matched (97) for the (97)th NFL Season
Trump is (88)
Delete98th season. 98+89 = 187. Do you think we may get a tie early on in the season?
DeleteIf we do it will be Baltimore vs Cincinnati I bet
DeleteSpeaking of ties I called the tie on the Skins vs Bengals tie last year due to the election.
DeleteProof on Jeremy Whites blog the week before that game.
If it is not there then it was on Sachs blog but I am pretty sure it was Field of White
Jeremy Whites blog.
Zachary not Sach
DeleteThis tablet loves to change words on me
One more thing.
ReplyDeleteMy Lock of the week will always look like a loss at first glance.
49ers will at least cover the 5.5
Tampa, Washington and New England on my A-team for sure...
ReplyDeleteWhen checking the numbers behind Eagles at Redskins I saw the 76 a lot, and think this is the decider. Probably rigged so because the game is played at FedEx Field 76 degrees W, and the next games are played at 17.9.
DeleteH2H Regular season: 85-74-6, a 6th Redskins H2H win in a row to match the 6 ties and 610th Redskin franchise win on a 19 day, then you also got the 76: 8(6-7)4. The 48 by the way, matches Eagles percentage .484 coming into the game.
Eagles lost to Jets preseason week 4, Jets 16 points, Redskins scored 13 points. 613th Eagles franchise loss on that 36 day.
16th Anniversary of nine-eleven. The H2H from 2001 started with a Redskins win then 7 losses in a row: 17. If we now get another Washington win we have 17 - - 6 on 76W just before 16 9/11.
Alarm: Tampa is not going to play in Miami Sunday, just saw this:
Deletehttp://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000839466/article/bucsfins-will-not-be-played-in-miami-due-to-irma
If they play this game at all sunday/monday (neutral site?) Tampa is now going of my A-Team at once, because I expected them to get win #257 at 25o57 degrees. Tampa Miami no-bet for me until further notice, if this is played at all this week.
I will also downgrade my faith in New England week 1 a little bit, because so much numbers are tightly knit with Tampa Bay, so New England down to my B-team for week 1.
Tomas, I trust your weekly picks. My A-team is for now Washington and 49ers+5.5
You think N.E. covers John ?
DeleteTomas, to be honest I am not that confident that New England covers after I saw that Tampa not playing in Miami news, just before midnight local time yesterday (I moved them to my B-Team for the week, and want to see how this script plays out a little bit...).
DeleteI have been sensing a back-to-back championship through the Tampa Bay numbers, and have been taking it for granted all the way that it was for New England. But that 257 down in Miami was kind of central in that "script" to kick-start a dominant 9 game N.E. winning streak for the season...
Maybe you baseball guys see something that sheds light to this problem: Is it possible that I have been seeing the numbers for a Chicago Cubs championship repeat instead? Or is the Cubs dead in the water now? (try to run your numbers through Tampa if it's possible)
I checked Joe Madden's win/loss numbers because he was 9 years down in Tampa before his Cubs championship last year. I saw that he had 705 losses and .517 W-L%. This is a reflection of the same numbers we have to take into consideration, regarding the Green Bay vs Seattle NFL prime time match on Sunday:
Will coach Carroll born on a 75 day get his 71st win for Seattle in his 113th match, just before 113th World Series, or will he lose so that Packers stay at 575 franchise losses? Whatever happens, is this a sign that points to something that will happen in MLB (tampa connection)?
(ps! I have showed other calculations that made me lean on a Green Bay win, but I only have them on my B-Team)
https://www.baseball-reference.com/managers/maddojo99.shtml
DeleteJoe Madden 754 wins Tampa, Minnesota Vikings 457 regular season matches
Joe Madden 1459 matches Tampa, Pittsburgh Steelers 549 losses, Oakland Raiders 456 wins, Denver Broncos 465 wins.
Tom Brady on the Madden Cover and 456 TD.
There's pretty much no chance of a Cubs repeat, it has to be Astros, Dodgers, Nationals or Red Sox this year it seems to me.
DeleteThanks Lenny, that's what I wanted to hear. There are just so many numbers that repeats in the different scenarios, also across the leagues, I just get confused sometimes...
DeleteFor now I will stand by my theory that William Belichick will be in SB48 (probably repeat) and Patriots will have a strong/dominant start to the season.
I laugh at people that dont think sports are rigged lol then they ask me why do i bet ..i tell them you have to be on the right side of the rigging lol..football is my favorite sports but my least successful in betting ..i will stick around and watever lil info i have i will share..thanks guys and good luck this new football season! !
ReplyDeletetampa, san diego, and pittsburgh moneyline is my top parlay play.
ReplyDeleteToMas if we get a tie it'll be Tampa/Miami....
ReplyDeleteSeattle
Detroit
San Fran+(4.5)
New New Orleans +3.5 is going to be my top parlay
Rams are a lock to cover but putting them in my second tier..... I'm betting the whole slate, I believe in my ability to decode and I believe with y'all help we shouldn't lose any games j
Remember KC Royals just went scoreless for 44 innings...36 of them was against Cleveland, Belichick first team was Cleveland....New England covers easily on Thursday...watch for Alex Smith injury....
ReplyDeleteMy guess is Kaepernick will be on Kansas City by week 3
My long shot locks
ReplyDeleteSan Fran (ML)
Seattle (ML)
Chicago +7
New Orleans +3.5
My locks
Falcons (ML)
Cincinnati (ML)
Detroit (ML)
LA Rams (ML)
2 things I found for a KC win: last time they beat NE was 9/29/14 from then til 9/7/17 is 1074 days. andy reids next win is 174 alltime or 44th with KC and his next birthday is in 193 days which is the 44th prime. not much but something to ponder
ReplyDeleteThe next wins above dont include playoffs for andy reids record. 1 more thing more, from andy reids start date with KC was 4y 8m 3d til game day like #483. Next NE loss is #384.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
DeleteNew England fresh off a superbowl victory won't lose
Deletewhat website can we check which team is getting the most bets to win the super bowl?
DeleteHow can you trust any site to be honest
DeleteAll these lies U do not trust anything the internet days Jay Dee
Internet says
DeleteWhen these codes are to easy to see I do not like it.
DeleteExample
Cincinnati vs Baltimore and the (119)s in the BEds are loaded.
Lewis can get win 119
No bet.
If it was not a power number (119) I wouldn't even consider a Bengals win
I still wouldn't bet on Cinncy and may switch to the Ravens in my pool.
These elite people making the codes know we are decoding.
Just a heads up to be aware of
119 in the birthday.
DeleteI am sick of this tablet changing my words.
I never knew you could do parleys with the money line on NFL Games.
ReplyDeleteI just put in 8 teams for $1 to win $100
Tomas I've made a killing off ML parlays
DeleteHow you do that?
DeleteI started in college bball last year so I dunno how it works for football.. But I basically picked ML for teams that i knew would win.. 7-8 team.. but i would do it by times on weekends.. 12,3,7 oclock.. sometimes in would throw in a dawg for better odds.. i was putting a like $75 to $100 on the parlays
ReplyDeleteIf you wanna know more you can email me.. i have a system for collge football bowl season that only about 3 loses out 30 something bowl games
ReplyDelete