NFL Week 4 - 10/1 - Sunday Daily Games
Not including any prime time games
Just Sunday daily games
These are the games I like this Week (4)
Tier One
Jets over Jaguars
Texans over Titans
Buccaneers over Giants
Steelers over Ravens
Tier two
Raiders over Broncos
Eagles over Chargers
Falcons over Bills
Tier three
49ers over Cardinals
Tier four
Vikings over Lions Dolphins over Saints
Patriots over Panthers
Cowboys over Rams
Tier five
Bengals over Browns
Just Sunday daily games
These are the games I like this Week (4)
Tier One
Jets over Jaguars
Texans over Titans
Buccaneers over Giants
Steelers over Ravens
Tier two
Raiders over Broncos
Eagles over Chargers
Falcons over Bills
Tier three
49ers over Cardinals
Tier four
Vikings over Lions Dolphins over Saints
Patriots over Panthers
Cowboys over Rams
Tier five
Bengals over Browns
I like the Browns I think to beat the Bengals but believe the Bengals go on a run after this game.
ReplyDeleteTomas, I suspect they take the shortest route to 32 this week, and repeat it several times...
ReplyDeleteNow home teams has won 27 and 20 for the away teams (227 for pi, start another cycle with 32)
Three home wins first (follow the sequence of matches at nfl.com -> schedules)
Packers, Dolphins and Texans
Now we have 30-20, and we need one home and one away win next. So it's gotta be either Jags + Pats or Jets + Panthers winnning. Then we have 31-21 (1321), also 4-1 for Prince Charles.
The next one should be easy to pick in this script: 32*32 = 1024. Away win for Lions to get to 4-2 for the week. 24 years without a division title.
The next hereafter I love the most: We started with 227 or pi or 3.14 before TNF. 3.14 for another away win: Bills beat the Falcons. Now we have 4-3 for the week and 31-23 for the season.
We finish this circle now with a Ravens win to get to 32-23. And we also get the 5-3 for the week for free....
(okay, maybe the last 2 is a little opportunistic. It could be Falcons+Steelers also)
after SNF total points for the season was 2003
DeleteBayern Munchen plays CL match #323 now, in Paris with coordinates 48 and 2.
DeleteBayern went down early 0-1 and has conceeded the 323rd goal away.
If Paris wins its #48 and Bayern will stay at 184 wins.
(Bayern by the way, came into this match with goal difference +320)
25 goals in CL tonight.
Delete13 goals home teams, 12 away (1321)
3 home wins, 5 away wins
32 and 35 is dominating
Yesterday 23 goals, 12 home 11 away.
Total 48 goals, 25 home 23 away (repeating the same numbers over and over again...)
1 draw, 7 home wins, 8 away wins
187
98+89=187
John you are the man.
DeleteI don't know if I told you but I love your work bro.
I know I said that about ten timea all ready just want you to know I still enjoy your work.
It helps me more than you realize
Great work.
Thanks Tomas, kind words.
DeleteWe keep on digging until we find the exact method they rig the NFL week-by-week
These days I am stunned/perplexed just by looking at the running totals for the first 3 weeks, there are so many intriguing correlations and alignments. They have planned and executed this much tighter than I expected just a year ago...
A few more examples (http://www.nfl.com/schedules/2017/REG3)
Week 3 TNF Rams scored 41 points away, just to see the home teams winning the next 4, with 122 points, then just to see Denver secure a total of 122 away points the next match in sequence. After Denver the home teams was 5-1, and the week ended 11-5 after a 2-2 finish.
49ers scored 39 points TNF, just to see later that home/away wins was 6-3 after Lions lost to Falcons 26-30. Two six-threes: After Titans won the first evening match, 9-3 is the stat.
Falcons scored 30 and the running total of away points for the season up to 803. Running total for week 3 away points 203 (that's 32 again). The next match in sequence in Minnesota gave the 283rd point for home teams W3 and the 820th point away teams for the season. You guys could probably guess now what the running total for away/home wins was after Minnesota, but I will ruin the pleasure of finding this and reveal the stats: 18-23
As mentioned in another post I like Packers tonight based on running totals: 1082 points for the home teams and Packers to secure home win #28.
DeleteThe route I suggested for the first 8 matches above, also leans a little on the 433 points scored by the home teams week 3, and the total score of 799 points.
But... If we are going to do "research" on the running totals in NFL and how they should affect our betting choices, we have to expect some trial-and-errors the first period. It will probably feel a lot like that annoying woman's voice in the apps for directing us in the car traffic, when we miss a junction in the planned route "...recalculating the route....recalculating the route.." :-D
I find Bills at Falcons the most intriguing match this week. Even how much I try to rationalize that a Falcons win is the most probable outcome, I just can not let go of that Bills upset.
DeleteIf 32 is going to crush dreams this week, Atlanta is the perfect victim. They are on a 7 game regular season winning streak, and the previous loss is 302 days ago on match day.
And to repeat myself, 203 was the away points week 3 after Falcons beat Lions...
Hey John B I also love your work, totally spot on and amazing! I'll be honest I couldn't follow a couple of the connections you made there, but every prediction was correct, damn.
DeleteWhy do you got Vikings when Case Keenum is starting vs the Lions. I think it’s a clear win for them
ReplyDeleteI like the Vikings if Case plays.
DeleteThe number you want to look for in that game is:
(77) [27] two sevens [72]
I would consider a Lions win if Bradford plays but if Keenum plays the Lions lose.
i like detroit on this one. only reason keenum won is he has a 3-0 record against the bucs. he has 27 TDs to 20 INTs. i doubt he'll even throw a td this game.
DeleteYou guys got me second guessing the Vikings pick.
DeleteNo bet on any games that are not in tiers 1 through 3 for me with tier 3 a maybe place in a parley.
Tier 1 are 5⛧
Tier 2 are 4⛧
Tier 3 are 3⛧
ect...
Even know I feel that 49ers game is a free game for us I am still worried a lil
DeleteGuess it needs more coding tomorrow
how about we put our picks for the week to see how we stack up against each other? for fun of course.
ReplyDeleteThose are mine as of now.
DeleteTier 1,2 & 3 are not changing unless something drastic happens.
Steelers are up to Tier 2
is there a forum anywhere that you go to?
ReplyDeleteWhat do you mean ?
DeleteI am the forum.
I do not listen to anyone but you guys on this blog to be honest Ram
I just mean in the sense that forums are easier to track who said what and when. quicker communication. blogs are constant scrolling and your post gets lost further back.
DeleteStarting to lean toward the Rams now a lil
ReplyDeleteBeing that I was a Rams fan as a kid...I wouldn't lean on Rams in a game in Dallas. Cardinals are a much more talented team....I of course mean in fictional appearance...I'll pick dallas anyway because I know the other guys will,so I don't fall behind one game
ReplyDeleteespn=-=-The upcoming game matches strength against strength as Atlanta's high-powered offense squares off against Buffalo's punishing defense. The Falcons rank fifth in the NFL with 29 points per game and the Bills are No. 1 on the opposite side of the ball with only 12.3 points allowed per game.
ReplyDeleteFalcons quarterback Matt Ryan will try to bounce back from a three-interception performance against the Detroit Lions in Week 3. For the season, Ryan has passed for 867 yards, four touchdowns and three picks.
The Bills are the only team in the NFL that has not allowed a passing touchdown.
Teir one 4 out of 4 good show. Giants covered though by 1/2 point I took them figuring no way they let them go 0-4
ReplyDelete